La incidencia del factor demográfico en el sistema de pensiones en las Regiones 5, 6, 7 de Ecuador en el periodo 2010-2040

Abstract

In acordance with the proyections realized by INEC based on 2010 census, it is expected the increase of life expentacy for 75 to 85 years by the year 2050 and birthrate decrease, because woman will have less than two children. Possibly the number of pensioners exceeds the number of contributors, affecting the pension system. This investigation tries to determinate the incidence about the demographic factor at regions 5, 6, y 7 at the pension system between the years 2010-2040 using a proyecting model, the results show that the demographic factor has not incidence at the pension system; by the year 2040 Region 5, Region 6 and Region 7, the number of contributors it is necessary to cover pension payments in each period of study regions.