Análisis del efecto del Bono de Desarrollo Humano sobre los principales indicadores de educación y empleo en el Ecuador en el año 2016

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the effect of the Human Development Bonus on education and employment for the year 2016 in Ecuador, through the application of Logit type models on the indicators Assistance to Classes and Worked or Not Last Week as variables dependent; previous literature review, theories and empirical evidence about the main factors that affect these variables. The results indicate that the BDH has a positive impact on education, that is, it encourages beneficiaries to attend classes regularly; with respect to employment, and although the information gathered tended to think about obtaining a negative Logit value, the reality is that there was no evidence that receiving this direct transfer causes the beneficiaries to leave their job in the short term. Likewise, the resulting conclusions and the evidence gathered allowed us to elaborate some recommendations to improve the actions of public policies and, in particular, the Human Development Bonus in Ecuador.