Análisis de la cointegración de los indicadores macroeconómicos y la matriculación universitaria en el Ecuador: Caso Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja 1987-2017

Abstract

Abstract:In the present investigation, an analysis of the cointegration of the macroeconomic indicators and the number of students enrolled in the open and distance modality of the Private Technical University of Loja, for the period 1987-2017. Being a contribution to empirical evidence in this type of research that is scarce in the middle. The methodology applied is the autoregressive vector model, the error correction model, as well as the impulse response function. The series were examined with econometric tests in order to verify the effectiveness of their contribution in the models. Finally, the results obtained show a cyclical relationship between tuition and the behavior of the economy. The hypothesis of cointegration between the series is checked. That is, the economy does influence the decision of individuals to enter higher education. And it depends on the academy the planning of an efficient process of promotion and recruitment of students in such a way that they provide the necessary conditions to ensure admission and permanence within the educational centers.