Aprovechamiento del recurso hídrico y cambios en la cobertura y uso del suelo: escenarios prospectivos en una cuenca de los Andes al sur del Ecuador

Abstract

Abstract: This study took place in the Zamora Huayco (ZH) basin located in the inter-Andean region of Loja province. The objective was to describe, through land use and cover, natural physical processes, such as water recharge, torrential floods and water availability, under current conditions and projected to a 10 years future horizon. In addition, temperature and precipitation projections are presented to detail the effects of climate change. A prospective analysis of water management in the basin is also included, incorporating socio economic and institutional political variables, as well as the structural analysis of the system, generating future scenarios and the strategic and tactical orientation to achieve an objective scenario. The results show an increase of 6.6% in the coverage of forest and shrub species, which also implies an improvement in flow regulation of the basin, the objective scenario considered takes into account this projection and the strategic plans to achieve it involve a compilation of information in a common repository plan, for stakeholders and decision makers.