Incertidumbre económica en Ecuador, periodo 2016-2020

Abstract

Abstract: The objective of the study tries to verify the influence that the socioeconomic characteristics of the heads of household have on their perception of the economy in Ecuador. For this, the data of the perception that the heads of household have on the country's economy were used, as a dependent variable, using an ordinal logistic model it was determined that per capita income, self-identification with other nationalities and living in the coastal region, increases the probabilities of having a more optimistic perception of the economic situation, in relation to those heads of households who belong to the Sierra region, who have a postgraduate educational level and are between 45 and 65 years old, where the probabilities decrease to have a more optimistic perception about the economic situation. The results obtained empirically are statistically robust, therefore, it is concluded that the socioeconomic characteristics found in the data obtained from INEC-ENEMDU, in the periods 2016, 2019 and 2020, significantlyinfluence the perspectives of optimism or pessimism that have the Ecuadorian heads of household in the short term.