Relación del cambio climático con la producción agrícola en la Provincia del Azuay

Abstract

Abstract: Azuay province traditionally has a concentration in crops such as corn, dry and tender beans, peas and potatoes, as part of these crops representing the traditions and customs as well as an economic activity within the diet of the population. In finding a correlation between the variability in performance levels with temperature and precipitation variables that result in levels of correlation and statistical explanation returns associated with climate variables analysed. The analysis identified a robust negative relationship not widely that may be due to the amount of data available from the behaviour of performance levels and climatic variables. However, the results achieved are part of an indication to deepen the analysis of operational policies to address the vulnerability of the activity to variations and climatic changes. The methodology involves calculating and analysing the correlation coefficient between the variables are presented, seeking to identify the significance of this statistic with characteristics of culture and its relationship with climatic variables. The results obtained in the study show a negative relationship between the variables analysed, i.e. increases the effects of variations in temperature and precipitation decrease production volumes. The number of years of data available restricts the results obtained and don't allow to make a strong inference, however, represent an indication of this behaviour that enable operational policies designed to address the vulnerability of the activity in front of variations and climatic changes. Policies focused on the productive sector in Ecuador in recent years have recovered emphasis with events such as: The approval of the Organic Law on Rural Land and Ancestral Territories, and projects promoted by the MAGAP who is the competent institution on issues of agricultural production.